Study 3: every table and figure
Each analysis from the dissertation, rebuilt from the released data, with a figure beside every table. Hover over any mark for the details.
Deep dive: every table and figure
The rest of this page rebuilds each analysis from the public data. Hover over any mark for the details, and open the guide below if a term is unfamiliar.
Plain-language guide to the terms
- Trust
- How willing someone is to follow the advice. In these studies, people rated this from 0 (not at all) to 10 (completely).
- Quantitative reasoning
- Deciding with numbers, data and statistics, like reading a lab result.
- Intuition
- Deciding with experience and judgment, like a doctor sensing that something is off when the tests look fine.
- Effect size (Cohen's d)
- How big a difference is, on a scale that can be compared across studies. This site uses the Funder and Ozer (2019) labels for psychology: about 0.20 is small, 0.41 is medium, 0.63 is large, and 0.87 or more is very large.
- 95% interval
- The range of values the true average probably falls in. A narrow range means a precise estimate; a range that includes zero means the difference may not be real.
- p value
- How surprising the result would be if there were no real difference. A p below .05 is the usual bar for calling a result reliable, and "p < .001" means chance is a very unlikely explanation.
- Mixed model
- A way to analyze data when each person gives many ratings, so that people who rate everything high or low do not distort the results.
- Mediation
- A test of whether one thing explains part of the link between two others. Here: does seeing a doctor as more competent explain part of why people trust the doctor more?
- Preregistered
- The plan for the study and its analysis was written and posted publicly before anyone looked at the data.
How to read this page. Each person saw one source only, so every comparison is between groups of different people. Trust and belief are on a scale from −3 to 3, warmth and competence from 0 to 4. The public file groups age into four bands, so the models that used age in years use the band number (1 = 18 to 44, 4 = 70 and over); their age coefficients differ from the dissertation's in scale.
Who took part
609 adults rated trust. 240 saw the humanlike ai, 240 saw the standard ai, 129 saw the doctor.
What to look for. The share in each group. Younger adults and women make up the largest groups.
| Group | People | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Age group: 18-44 | 312 | 51.2% |
| Age group: 45-59 | 130 | 21.3% |
| Age group: 60-69 | 61 | 10.0% |
| Age group: 70+ | 55 | 9.0% |
| Gender: Woman | 315 | 51.7% |
| Gender: Man | 247 | 40.6% |
| Race: White | 356 | 58.5% |
| Race: Another or multiple | 212 | 34.8% |
| Education: No college degree | 365 | 59.9% |
| Education: College degree or more | 203 | 33.3% |
| How religious: Not at all to slightly | 226 | 37.1% |
| How religious: Moderately | 164 | 26.9% |
| How religious: More than moderately | 177 | 29.1% |
Shares are of all 609 people. Left blank in the file: age group (51), gender (47), race (41), education (41), how religious (42). Race is shown as White or another or multiple because no other group reached 30 people. Age is in bands; exact age is not released.
Table 1 as a figure
Each bar is the share of the 609 people in that group. Hover a bar for the head count.
The three sources and the check
People were randomly assigned to read the same health recommendation from a doctor, from a standard AI or from an AI described in humanlike terms. To check the framing, people in the two AI conditions rated how humanlike the AI seemed on a scale from 0 to 4.
What to look for. The two means are close together and the interval for the difference includes zero, so people did not see the humanlike AI as more humanlike.
| Comparison | Humanlike AI, Standard AI: mean (SD) | Difference [95% CI] | t (df) | p | d [95% CI] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| How humanlike the AI seemed: humanlike AI versus standard AI | 1.64 (1.16), 1.54 (1.04) | 0.10 [−0.10, 0.30] | 0.98 (471) | .328 | 0.09 [−0.09, 0.27] |
Welch t test, two-sided. Only the two AI conditions answered this question.
Figure 1. How humanlike the AI seemed
Each dot is one person's rating, from 0 (not at all humanlike) to 4 (very humanlike). The two clouds overlap almost completely.
Outline: how answers are spread (smoothed). Dots: one person each. Diamond and bar: the average and its bootstrapped 95% interval.
View as a table
| Measure | n | Mean | 95% interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| Humanlike AI | 239 | 1.6 | 1.5 to 1.8 |
| Standard AI | 240 | 1.5 | 1.4 to 1.7 |
Trust, belief, warmth and competence
The preregistered questions were whether the doctor was trusted more than the AIs, and whether the humanlike AI was trusted more than the standard one. The tables give the descriptives, the omnibus test and then each comparison.
What to look for. Compare means within a measure. The doctor is highest on trust, belief and warmth; the two AIs sit close together.
| Measure and source | n | Mean | SD | SE | 95% CI | Median | Min | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trust (−3 to 3): Humanlike AI | 240 | 0.52 | 1.46 | 0.09 | [0.33, 0.70] | 1.00 | −3.00 | 3.00 |
| Trust (−3 to 3): Standard AI | 240 | 0.41 | 1.53 | 0.10 | [0.22, 0.61] | 1.00 | −3.00 | 3.00 |
| Trust (−3 to 3): Doctor | 129 | 0.86 | 1.59 | 0.14 | [0.58, 1.14] | 1.00 | −3.00 | 3.00 |
| Belief (−3 to 3): Humanlike AI | 240 | 0.65 | 1.49 | 0.10 | [0.47, 0.84] | 1.00 | −3.00 | 3.00 |
| Belief (−3 to 3): Standard AI | 240 | 0.61 | 1.51 | 0.10 | [0.42, 0.80] | 1.00 | −3.00 | 3.00 |
| Belief (−3 to 3): Doctor | 129 | 0.98 | 1.41 | 0.12 | [0.74, 1.23] | 1.00 | −3.00 | 3.00 |
| Warmth (0 to 4): Humanlike AI | 239 | 1.54 | 1.15 | 0.07 | [1.39, 1.69] | 2.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| Warmth (0 to 4): Standard AI | 240 | 1.44 | 1.18 | 0.08 | [1.29, 1.59] | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| Warmth (0 to 4): Doctor | 128 | 2.00 | 1.08 | 0.10 | [1.81, 2.19] | 2.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| Competence (0 to 4): Humanlike AI | 240 | 1.86 | 1.12 | 0.07 | [1.72, 2.00] | 2.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| Competence (0 to 4): Standard AI | 239 | 2.00 | 1.09 | 0.07 | [1.86, 2.13] | 2.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| Competence (0 to 4): Doctor | 129 | 2.25 | 0.96 | 0.08 | [2.08, 2.42] | 2.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 |
Standard errors and intervals are for each group's mean.
Figure 2. Trust, every person
Each dot is one person's trust rating, from −3 (no trust) to 3 (complete trust). The curve shows where ratings pile up, and the bar marks the mean with its 95% interval.
Outline: how answers are spread (smoothed). Dots: one person each. Diamond and bar: the average and its bootstrapped 95% interval.
View as a table
| Measure | n | Mean | 95% interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| Doctor | 129 | 0.9 | 0.6 to 1.1 |
| Humanlike AI | 240 | 0.5 | 0.3 to 0.7 |
| Standard AI | 240 | 0.4 | 0.2 to 0.6 |
Figure 3. Belief, every person
The same display for belief in the recommendation.
Outline: how answers are spread (smoothed). Dots: one person each. Diamond and bar: the average and its bootstrapped 95% interval.
View as a table
| Measure | n | Mean | 95% interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| Doctor | 129 | 1.0 | 0.7 to 1.2 |
| Humanlike AI | 240 | 0.7 | 0.5 to 0.8 |
| Standard AI | 240 | 0.6 | 0.4 to 0.8 |
Figure 4. Warmth, every person
The same display for how warm the source seemed, from 0 to 4.
Outline: how answers are spread (smoothed). Dots: one person each. Diamond and bar: the average and its bootstrapped 95% interval.
View as a table
| Measure | n | Mean | 95% interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| Doctor | 128 | 2.0 | 1.8 to 2.2 |
| Humanlike AI | 239 | 1.5 | 1.4 to 1.7 |
| Standard AI | 240 | 1.4 | 1.3 to 1.6 |
Figure 5. Competence, every person
The same display for how competent the source seemed, from 0 to 4.
Outline: how answers are spread (smoothed). Dots: one person each. Diamond and bar: the average and its bootstrapped 95% interval.
View as a table
| Measure | n | Mean | 95% interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| Doctor | 129 | 2.3 | 2.1 to 2.4 |
| Humanlike AI | 240 | 1.9 | 1.7 to 2.0 |
| Standard AI | 239 | 2.0 | 1.9 to 2.1 |
Figure 6. Means and intervals
Table 3 as a figure. Each dot is a mean with its 95% interval, one panel per measure. Where the doctor's interval sits clear of the other two, the doctor was rated higher.
View as a table
| Source | Trust: mean [95% interval] | Belief: mean [95% interval] | Warmth: mean [95% interval] | Competence: mean [95% interval] |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doctor | 0.9 [0.6, 1.1] | 1.0 [0.7, 1.2] | 2.0 [1.8, 2.2] | 2.3 [2.1, 2.4] |
| Humanlike AI | 0.5 [0.3, 0.7] | 0.7 [0.5, 0.8] | 1.5 [1.4, 1.7] | 1.9 [1.7, 2.0] |
| Standard AI | 0.4 [0.2, 0.6] | 0.6 [0.4, 0.8] | 1.4 [1.3, 1.6] | 2.0 [1.9, 2.1] |
What to look for. The F and p columns say whether the three sources differ at all; the last three columns say which pairs do, after adjusting for three comparisons.
| Measure | n | F (df) | p | η² | Tukey p: doctor, standard AI | Tukey p: doctor, humanlike AI | Tukey p: humanlike, standard AI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trust | 609 | F(2, 606) = 3.75 | .024 | .012 | .019 | .096 | .732 |
| Belief | 609 | F(2, 606) = 2.91 | .055 | .010 | .056 | .103 | .949 |
| Warmth | 607 | F(2, 604) = 10.55 | < .001 | .034 | < .001 | < .001 | .592 |
| Competence | 608 | F(2, 605) = 5.52 | .004 | .018 | .081 | .003 | .341 |
Tukey HSD for the three pairwise comparisons.
Table 4 as a figure
Each bar is η², the share of the variation in that rating that the source explains. All are small; warmth is the largest.
What to look for. The d column, with its interval, tells you how large each difference is. Compare the doctor rows with the humanlike-versus-standard rows.
| Comparison | First, Second: mean (SD) | Difference [95% CI] | t (df) | p | d [95% CI] | Kind | Tukey p |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trust: Doctor versus the two AI conditions combined | 0.86 (1.59), 0.46 (1.50) | 0.40 [0.09, 0.70] | 2.54 (193.21) | .012 | 0.26 [0.07, 0.46] | Planned | |
| Trust: Humanlike AI versus standard AI | 0.52 (1.46), 0.41 (1.53) | 0.10 [−0.16, 0.37] | 0.76 (477.11) | .446 | 0.07 [−0.11, 0.25] | Planned | .732 |
| Trust: Doctor versus standard AI | 0.86 (1.59), 0.41 (1.53) | 0.45 [0.11, 0.79] | 2.62 (253.27) | .009 | 0.29 [0.07, 0.50] | Additional | .019 |
| Trust: Doctor versus humanlike AI | 0.86 (1.59), 0.52 (1.46) | 0.34 [0.01, 0.68] | 2.04 (244.06) | .043 | 0.23 [0.01, 0.44] | Additional | .096 |
| Belief: Doctor versus the two AI conditions combined | 0.98 (1.41), 0.63 (1.50) | 0.35 [0.07, 0.63] | 2.47 (211.42) | .014 | 0.24 [0.04, 0.43] | Planned | |
| Belief: Humanlike AI versus standard AI | 0.65 (1.49), 0.61 (1.51) | 0.04 [−0.23, 0.31] | 0.30 (477.91) | .761 | 0.03 [−0.15, 0.21] | Planned | .949 |
| Belief: Doctor versus standard AI | 0.98 (1.41), 0.61 (1.51) | 0.37 [0.06, 0.68] | 2.35 (276.78) | .019 | 0.25 [0.04, 0.47] | Additional | .056 |
| Belief: Doctor versus humanlike AI | 0.98 (1.41), 0.65 (1.49) | 0.33 [0.02, 0.64] | 2.10 (273.56) | .037 | 0.23 [0.01, 0.44] | Additional | .103 |
| Warmth: Doctor versus the two AI conditions combined | 2.00 (1.08), 1.49 (1.16) | 0.51 [0.30, 0.73] | 4.68 (212.45) | < .001 | 0.45 [0.25, 0.64] | Planned | |
| Warmth: Humanlike AI versus standard AI | 1.54 (1.15), 1.44 (1.18) | 0.10 [−0.11, 0.31] | 0.96 (476.79) | .336 | 0.09 [−0.09, 0.27] | Planned | .592 |
| Warmth: Doctor versus standard AI | 2.00 (1.08), 1.44 (1.18) | 0.56 [0.32, 0.80] | 4.61 (279.4) | < .001 | 0.49 [0.27, 0.71] | Additional | < .001 |
| Warmth: Doctor versus humanlike AI | 2.00 (1.08), 1.54 (1.15) | 0.46 [0.22, 0.70] | 3.81 (273.72) | < .001 | 0.41 [0.19, 0.63] | Additional | < .001 |
| Competence: Doctor versus the two AI conditions combined | 2.25 (0.96), 1.93 (1.10) | 0.32 [0.13, 0.52] | 3.26 (227.57) | .001 | 0.30 [0.10, 0.49] | Planned | |
| Competence: Humanlike AI versus standard AI | 1.86 (1.12), 2.00 (1.09) | −0.14 [−0.34, 0.06] | −1.36 (476.84) | .173 | −0.12 [−0.30, 0.05] | Planned | .341 |
| Competence: Doctor versus standard AI | 2.25 (0.96), 2.00 (1.09) | 0.25 [0.04, 0.47] | 2.29 (292.05) | .023 | 0.24 [0.03, 0.46] | Additional | .081 |
| Competence: Doctor versus humanlike AI | 2.25 (0.96), 1.86 (1.12) | 0.39 [0.17, 0.61] | 3.51 (297.15) | < .001 | 0.37 [0.15, 0.58] | Additional | .003 |
Welch t tests, two-sided. d uses the pooled standard deviation and is positive when the first group is higher. Planned comparisons were preregistered; the rest are additional. The Tukey column adjusts for the three pairwise comparisons.
Figure 7. Effect sizes
Table 5 as a figure. Each dot is Cohen's d with a 95% interval. The dashed lines mark a small, medium and large effect on the Funder and Ozer scale. An interval that crosses zero cannot rule out no difference.
What to look for. The d column is the smallest true difference this design would find 80% of the time. Smaller true differences could easily have been missed.
| Comparison | n, first | n, second | Smallest detectable d |
|---|---|---|---|
| Doctor versus the two AI conditions combined | 129 | 480 | 0.28 |
| Humanlike AI versus standard AI | 240 | 240 | 0.26 |
| Doctor versus standard AI | 129 | 240 | 0.31 |
| Doctor versus humanlike AI | 129 | 240 | 0.31 |
Two-sided Welch test, α = .05, power = .80.
Table 6 as a figure
Each bar is the smallest effect, in standard deviations, that the comparison could reliably detect.
Regression models
Each model predicts a rating from the source. The reference group is the humanlike AI. The second model adds gender and age group, and the third adds warmth and competence. When warmth and competence enter, the doctor's coefficient falls close to zero.
What to look for. The Doctor row is the gap from the humanlike AI. Compare it across the three versions of the model.
| Predictor | b | 95% CI | SE | t | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | 0.517 | [0.325, 0.709] | 0.098 | 5.28 | < .001 |
| Standard AI (versus humanlike AI) | −0.104 | [−0.374, 0.166] | 0.138 | −0.75 | .452 |
| Doctor (versus humanlike AI) | 0.344 | [0.019, 0.669] | 0.166 | 2.08 | .038 |
609 people. R² .012, adjusted R² .009, 606 residual degrees of freedom. Intervals are b ± 1.96 SE.
Table 7a as a figure. Each dot is a coefficient (b) with its 95% interval; zero means no difference from the reference.
What to look for. The Doctor row is the gap from the humanlike AI. Compare it across the three versions of the model.
| Predictor | b | 95% CI | SE | t | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | 0.440 | [0.128, 0.752] | 0.159 | 2.76 | .006 |
| Standard AI (versus humanlike AI) | −0.054 | [−0.338, 0.230] | 0.145 | −0.38 | .707 |
| Doctor (versus humanlike AI) | 0.395 | [0.058, 0.732] | 0.172 | 2.29 | .022 |
| Man (versus woman) | −0.124 | [−0.377, 0.129] | 0.129 | −0.96 | .338 |
| Age group (1 to 4) | 0.080 | [−0.045, 0.205] | 0.064 | 1.24 | .214 |
553 people. R² .017, adjusted R² .010, 548 residual degrees of freedom. Intervals are b ± 1.96 SE.
Table 7b as a figure. Each dot is a coefficient (b) with its 95% interval; zero means no difference from the reference.
What to look for. The Doctor row is the gap from the humanlike AI. Compare it across the three versions of the model.
| Predictor | b | 95% CI | SE | t | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | −1.407 | [−1.740, −1.074] | 0.170 | −8.29 | < .001 |
| Standard AI (versus humanlike AI) | −0.185 | [−0.416, 0.046] | 0.118 | −1.57 | .118 |
| Doctor (versus humanlike AI) | 0.018 | [−0.260, 0.296] | 0.142 | 0.13 | .899 |
| Man (versus woman) | −0.205 | [−0.411, 0.001] | 0.105 | −1.95 | .051 |
| Age group (1 to 4) | 0.234 | [0.130, 0.338] | 0.053 | 4.41 | < .001 |
| Warmth | 0.162 | [0.050, 0.274] | 0.057 | 2.86 | .004 |
| Competence | 0.729 | [0.607, 0.851] | 0.062 | 11.85 | < .001 |
552 people. R² .354, adjusted R² .347, 545 residual degrees of freedom. Intervals are b ± 1.96 SE.
Table 7c as a figure. Each dot is a coefficient (b) with its 95% interval; zero means no difference from the reference.
What to look for. The Doctor row is the gap from the humanlike AI. Compare it across the three versions of the model.
| Predictor | b | 95% CI | SE | t | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | 0.654 | [0.466, 0.842] | 0.096 | 6.85 | < .001 |
| Standard AI (versus humanlike AI) | −0.042 | [−0.307, 0.223] | 0.135 | −0.31 | .758 |
| Doctor (versus humanlike AI) | 0.330 | [0.012, 0.648] | 0.162 | 2.04 | .041 |
609 people. R² .010, adjusted R² .006, 606 residual degrees of freedom. Intervals are b ± 1.96 SE.
Table 8a as a figure. Each dot is a coefficient (b) with its 95% interval; zero means no difference from the reference.
What to look for. The Doctor row is the gap from the humanlike AI. Compare it across the three versions of the model.
| Predictor | b | 95% CI | SE | t | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | 0.650 | [0.346, 0.954] | 0.155 | 4.19 | < .001 |
| Standard AI (versus humanlike AI) | −0.004 | [−0.280, 0.272] | 0.141 | −0.03 | .975 |
| Doctor (versus humanlike AI) | 0.387 | [0.058, 0.716] | 0.168 | 2.30 | .022 |
| Man (versus woman) | −0.070 | [−0.317, 0.177] | 0.126 | −0.56 | .578 |
| Age group (1 to 4) | 0.027 | [−0.095, 0.149] | 0.062 | 0.43 | .668 |
553 people. R² .012, adjusted R² .005, 548 residual degrees of freedom. Intervals are b ± 1.96 SE.
Table 8b as a figure. Each dot is a coefficient (b) with its 95% interval; zero means no difference from the reference.
What to look for. The Doctor row is the gap from the humanlike AI. Compare it across the three versions of the model.
| Predictor | b | 95% CI | SE | t | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | −1.025 | [−1.360, −0.690] | 0.171 | −5.98 | < .001 |
| Standard AI (versus humanlike AI) | −0.118 | [−0.351, 0.115] | 0.119 | −0.99 | .324 |
| Doctor (versus humanlike AI) | 0.041 | [−0.241, 0.323] | 0.144 | 0.28 | .777 |
| Man (versus woman) | −0.144 | [−0.352, 0.064] | 0.106 | −1.36 | .176 |
| Age group (1 to 4) | 0.168 | [0.064, 0.272] | 0.053 | 3.14 | .002 |
| Warmth | 0.174 | [0.062, 0.286] | 0.057 | 3.06 | .002 |
| Competence | 0.637 | [0.515, 0.759] | 0.062 | 10.26 | < .001 |
552 people. R² .304, adjusted R² .297, 545 residual degrees of freedom. Intervals are b ± 1.96 SE.
Table 8c as a figure. Each dot is a coefficient (b) with its 95% interval; zero means no difference from the reference.
What goes with trust
Trust and belief are very close (r = .787). Competence goes with trust more than warmth does.
What to look for. Every correlation is positive. Trust moves most with belief and next with competence.
| Pair | r |
|---|---|
| Trust and Belief | .787 |
| Trust and Warmth | .404 |
| Trust and Competence | .568 |
| Belief and Warmth | .392 |
| Belief and Competence | .525 |
| Warmth and Competence | .595 |
Pearson correlations among the 606 people with all four ratings.
Figure 10. Correlation grid
Table 9 as a figure. Each square is the correlation between two ratings. Darker means the two move together more strongly.